A recent poll by CB Global Data indicates that President Javier Milei’s chances of winning the next election outright are diminishing, with only 28.3% of Argentines saying they would vote for him if elections were held tomorrow, according to a March 30 survey.
The findings suggest that even an alliance between Milei and Senator Patricia Bullrich would not be enough to secure a first-round victory. Their combined support reaches just 36.1%, which falls short of the required threshold—either 40% with a ten-point lead or 45%—to avoid a runoff.
Meanwhile, opposition parties appear to be gaining ground. If opposition candidates unite, their total support could reach up to 37%. Axel Kicillof is identified as the main challenger with support from 24.2% of respondents, followed by Grabois, Santoro, and Pichetto.
The poll also highlights growing public dissatisfaction with current economic conditions. The survey found that 53% of those polled now favor changing the direction of government policy. Key concerns among citizens have shifted: declining purchasing power now tops the list, followed by low wages and lack of employment opportunities.
As inflation becomes less central compared to fears about job security, these trends point toward increasing challenges for the administration ahead of the next electoral cycle.
